Within the direct media coverage of the Kuwaiti Parliament elections, Dr. Samir Abu Rumman, General Supervisor of World of Opinions Center and Advisor to the Gulf Opinions Center – in an interview with Al Jazeera Channel 11/26/2016 that the voting percentage in the 2016 Kuwaiti National Assembly elections would be higher than the previous elections, which witnessed a boycott due to the one-vote law. He pointed out that pollsters They ask citizens whether they will vote, and it has been found that the percentage of those who will vote ranges between 50-60%, but it decreases by about 10-15% on polling day for known reasons such as voter laziness on polling day. In Kuwait, the participation rate is considered high compared to other countries. On the other hand, in previous elections, many rejected this question, and there was a large percentage of hesitant voters in light of the boycott calls.
Regarding the qualitative and quantitative difference among voters in these elections, Dr. Samer noted that there is no radical difference except for the increase in Sunni participants, which may lead to a decrease in Shiite representation in the National Assembly than before. He stated that opinion polls constantly indicate that women vote less than men, and that the elderly vote more than the young.
When asked to what degree it is possible to trust and rely on the results of opinion polls, Dr. explained. Samer said that opinion polls during the election period constitute 20% of the general total of polls covering various topics, and that opinion polls during election periods are characterized by special sensitivity, and are subject to fluctuations that pollsters cannot predict despite their good history of predicting winners. Respondents may lie, in addition to a high rate of rejection by respondents, a percentage of statistical error, and the possibility of voters changing their opinions at the last minute due to sectarian and tribal tensions.
Dr. Abu Rumman noted to the reports submitted to some candidates, which monitor the constituencies in which they have greater opportunities and provide the candidate with data that he can verify the veracity of on the ground. He stated that despite the tensions in the 2013 elections due to the one-vote law, a 75% accuracy rate was reached. Predicting the winners in the polls carried out by the Opinion Center. These disputes were a cause for concern among pollsters because of their influence, along with the powers of the Supreme Constitutional Court, on the final form of the electoral lists.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vsW_kCJQk8M&t=6s
